Pin the Tail on the Donkey (or Scottish Election Predictions)
30 04 2007
Tony, over at his blog, has posted some predictions for the Scottish Elections on Thursday, and he has challenged others to do the same. He has promised to buy the winner a pint (but that may just be a promise for his friends, but you could always try your luck!). I am not sure how he is going to work out who has the best prediction … no doubt there will be some trickery and he will wrangle out of buying anyone anything!
So here are my predictions:
- I don’t think SNP will do as well as the polls are predicting … a small last minute swing in the polls makes a pretty large difference, and I don’t think they will get the largest number of seat.
- Labour will do badly, but will benefit from the “anyone but SNP” vote.
- Lib Dems will be King makers, but I don’t think they will gain any seats.
- The Tories will be invisible and the Cameron effect will have no effect north of border (or north of Watford for that matter!).
- I think the Greens will do well, and I am predicting they pick up a number of seats.
- The only independent or small party that I think will win a seat will be Margo MacDonald (Independent), with Scottish Socialists, Solidarity, and Christian parties picking up no seats at all!
So I think the seats will go:
- Labour: 43 (-7)
- SNP: 42 (+15)
- Lib Dem: 17 (no change)
- Tories: 16 (-2)
- Green: 10 (+3)
- Independent: 1 (-3)
- SSP: 0 (-6)
[Update: A new poll was released yesterday (Tuesday 1st May) showing support for SNP had fallen and Labour had increased. SNP still marginally ahead, and according to this poll would win by 1 seat. I may be a bit light for the Lib Dems, but feeling quite confident about the top two … I’m looking forward to that pint, that Tony has definately promised in his comments … maybe it wasn’t quite as random as pinning a tail on donkey! :smile: ].
So who I am going to vote for?
Read the rest of this entry »
Categories : News, Politics, News and Culture
As we thinking about participating in God’s Mission (
McLaren (I gather drawing heavily from NT Wright) paints a picture in his book,
Paul, over at
I remember watching the iconic pictures of the statue of Saddam Hussein being felled, the Iraqi people taking their shoes off and hitting the statue with them (the equivalent of our spitting on the statue). I remember thinking that maybe it was all worth it after all … the war had been won, Saddam had gone (or at least been toppled), the country would be better.
But
Last Sunday, in our church building, we hosted a election hustings for the forthcoming Scottish elections. Present were the usual parties (labour, conservatives, lib dems, and the SNP) but also present were the Green party, and TWO Christian Paries: the 




So once you have read the papers, done the sudoko puzzles, if you have a spare few minutes on your hands, you might like to watch a couple of things on the TV. Firstly there is a TV premiere of “
If something a little more sedate appeals to you, then on Monday at 7pm on Channel 4, there is a program called
I thought I would post a quickie today, following on from a great comment by






Recent Comments